HOME
Liga Nacional

Marquense vs Comunicaciones

Sun 08 Nov 04:00 0 minutes final 0–2 · 0 won · 2 lost
AWAY
back to predictions
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Home or Draw · 83.2%
book 1.37x · even 1.30-1.55x
why
• league PROVEN (75.0%, n=40)
• type ledger 80% (n=1980)
• priced 1.37x - band hits ~65% (60d)
league track
proven · 75.0% of 40 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 59.8%)
draws 23.3% of matches
team history 19/19 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-1X: 79.9% hit (n=1980, 90d ledger)
measured band: 82.0% (n=423)
night 00-06 kickoffs: 75.3% hit (n=473)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
83.2%
Home or Draw
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Home, draw refunds solid (77.8%)
@ 08 Nov 03:35 · 1.37x
board also had Home or Draw 83.2% pick lost
Home or Draw solid (83.2%)
@ 08 Nov 03:35 · 1.37x
pick lost
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
58.9%
Draw
24.2%
Away win
16.8%
calibrated 08 Nov 03:35
scoring fit λ 1.80 / μ 0.86
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 235 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdictresult
Away win
16.8%
5.94x 51.5% n=235 risky won
Draw
24.2%
4.12x 51.5% n=235 risky lost
top Home win
58.9%
1.7x 51.5% n=235 lean lost
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 11 meetings — Marquense 5W / 1D / 5L · momentum Marquense 0.83 ppg vs Comunicacio… 1.5 ppg
Marquense · last 6
08 Nov · Liga Nacional 0-2 L
03 Nov · Liga Nacional 2-0 L
30 Oct · Liga Nacional 0-0 D
25 Oct · Liga Nacional 3-1 L
19 Oct · Liga Nacional 2-1 W
15 Oct · Liga Nacional 1-1 D
Comunicaciones · last 6
08 Nov · Liga Nacional 0-2 W
02 Nov · Liga Nacional 3-1 W
29 Oct · Liga Nacional 3-1 L
25 Oct · Liga Nacional 1-0 W
21 Oct · Liga Nacional 1-0 L
15 Oct · Liga Nacional 1-2 L
Head-to-head last 5
08 Nov 26 · Liga Nacional Marquense 0-2 Comunicaciones
10 Sep 26 · Liga Nacional Comunicaciones 0-2 Marquense
30 Mar 26 · Liga Nacional Marquense 1-0 Comunicaciones
08 Feb 26 · Liga Nacional Comunicaciones 2-1 Marquense
26 Oct 25 · Liga Nacional Marquense 1-0 Comunicaciones