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Premiership
Glentoran vs Bangor
Fri 13 Nov 21:45 1 day, 20 hours
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Either team wins · 87.5%
book 1.22x · short <1.30x
why
• league OK (56.5%, n=23)
• type ledger 79% (n=2310)
• short price 1.22x
league track
ok · 56.5% of 23 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 36.8%)
draws 21.7% of matches
team history 18/24 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 78.5% hit (n=2310, 90d ledger)
measured band: 84.6% (n=311)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 76.5% hit (n=2555)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
87.5%
Either team wins
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
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Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Either team wins
solid (87.5%)
@ 11 Nov 23:57 · 1.22x
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
74.1%
Draw
12.5%
Away win
13.5%
calibrated 11 Nov 23:57
scoring fit λ 2.16 / μ 0.70
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 239 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
13.5%
|
7.42x | 53.6% n=239 | risky |
| Draw |
12.5%
|
8.03x | 53.6% n=239 | risky |
| top Home win |
74.1%
|
1.35x | 53.6% n=239 | solid |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 6 meetings — Glentoran 3W / 2D / 1L
· momentum Glentoran 2.0 ppg vs Bangor 1.17 ppg
Glentoran · last 6
07 Nov · Premiership
0-0
D
30 Oct · Premiership
1-1
D
17 Oct · Premiership
1-0
W
09 Oct · Premiership
0-0
D
03 Oct · Premiership
2-0
W
26 Sep · Premiership
2-0
W
Bangor · last 6
07 Nov · Premiership
1-0
W
31 Oct · Premiership
0-1
W
24 Oct · Premiership
1-2
L
20 Oct · League Cup
1-2
L
17 Oct · Premiership
0-0
D
10 Oct · Premiership
2-0
L
Head-to-head last 5
12 Sep 26 · Premiership
Glentoran 1-1 Bangor
10 Mar 26 · Premiership
Bangor 0-4 Glentoran
28 Nov 25 · Premiership
Bangor 1-1 Glentoran
16 Aug 25 · Premiership
Glentoran 1-0 Bangor
28 Feb 25 · Irish Cup
Bangor 3-1 Glentoran
Tickets including this match