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NWSL Women
NJ/NY Gotham FC Women vs Kansas City Women
Fri 13 Nov 19:00 1 day, 17 hours
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Either team wins · 83.5%
why
• league PROVEN (84.0%, n=25)
• type ledger 79% (n=2310)
league track
proven · 84.0% of 25 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 65.3%)
draws 15.0% of matches
team history 24/24 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 78.5% hit (n=2310, 90d ledger)
measured band: 80.4% (n=703)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 76.5% hit (n=2555)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
83.5%
Either team wins
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
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Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Either team wins
solid (83.5%)
@ 11 Nov 23:58
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
43.5%
Draw
16.5%
Away win
40.0%
calibrated 11 Nov 23:58
scoring fit λ 1.37 / μ 1.30
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 245 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
40.0%
|
2.5x | 54.7% n=245 | risky |
| Draw |
16.5%
|
6.06x | 54.7% n=245 | risky |
| top Home win |
43.5%
|
2.3x | 54.7% n=245 | risky |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 13 meetings — NJ/NY Gotham … 4W / 3D / 6L
· momentum NJ/NY Gotha… 2.17 ppg vs Kansas City… 3.0 ppg
NJ/NY Gotham FC Women · last 6
08 Nov · NWSL Women
1-0
W
02 Nov · NWSL Women
2-0
W
25 Oct · NWSL Women
1-2
W
17 Oct · NWSL Women
1-0
L
04 Oct · NWSL Women
1-1
D
26 Sep · NWSL Women
3-1
W
Kansas City Women · last 6
07 Nov · NWSL Women
1-0
W
02 Nov · NWSL Women
0-2
W
25 Oct · NWSL Women
2-1
W
18 Oct · NWSL Women
0-2
W
04 Oct · NWSL Women
5-1
W
26 Sep · NWSL Women
4-1
W
Head-to-head last 5
15 Aug 26 · NWSL Women
NJ/NY Gotham FC… 2-1 Kansas City Wom…
27 Jun 26 · NWSL Women - Challeng…
NJ/NY Gotham FC… 2-0 Kansas City Wom…
04 Apr 26 · NWSL Women
Kansas City Wom… 2-1 NJ/NY Gotham FC…
09 Nov 25 · NWSL Women
Kansas City Wom… 1-2 NJ/NY Gotham FC…
12 Oct 25 · NWSL Women
Kansas City Wom… 2-0 NJ/NY Gotham FC…