HOME
NWSL Women
Utah Royals Women vs Washington Spirit Women
Fri 13 Nov 19:00 1 day, 17 hours
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Either team wins · 84.0%
why
• league PROVEN (84.0%, n=25)
• type ledger 79% (n=2310)
league track
proven · 84.0% of 25 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 65.3%)
draws 15.0% of matches
team history 22/23 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 78.5% hit (n=2310, 90d ledger)
measured band: 80.4% (n=703)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 76.5% hit (n=2555)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
84.0%
Either team wins
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Either team wins
solid (84.0%)
@ 11 Nov 23:58
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
33.9%
Draw
16.0%
Away win
50.1%
calibrated 11 Nov 23:58
scoring fit λ 1.18 / μ 1.54
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 245 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| top Away win |
50.1%
|
2.0x | 54.7% n=245 | risky |
| Draw |
16.0%
|
6.26x | 54.7% n=245 | risky |
| Home win |
33.9%
|
2.95x | 54.7% n=245 | risky |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 6 meetings — Utah Royals W… 1W / 2D / 3L
· momentum Utah Royals… 1.33 ppg vs Washington … 2.0 ppg
Utah Royals Women · last 6
07 Nov · NWSL Women
0-1
W
02 Nov · NWSL Women
2-0
L
24 Oct · NWSL Women
0-0
D
18 Oct · NWSL Women
0-2
L
03 Oct · NWSL Women
1-1
D
28 Sep · NWSL Women
2-1
W
Washington Spirit Women · last 6
08 Nov · NWSL Women
4-1
W
02 Nov · NWSL Women
2-0
W
25 Oct · NWSL Women
2-1
L
17 Oct · NWSL Women
1-0
W
05 Oct · NWSL Women
2-3
W
27 Sep · NWSL Women
0-1
L
Head-to-head last 5
30 Jul 26 · NWSL Women
Utah Royals Wom… 0-1 Washington Spir…
26 Mar 26 · NWSL Women
Washington Spir… 1-1 Utah Royals Wom…
03 Nov 25 · NWSL Women
Utah Royals Wom… 1-0 Washington Spir…
18 May 25 · NWSL Women
Washington Spir… 3-3 Utah Royals Wom…
09 Jun 24 · NWSL Women
Utah Royals Wom… 0-1 Washington Spir…