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Liga MX Femenil

Pachuca Women vs Monterrey Women

Tomorrow 05:00 1 day, 1 hour
Mo
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Either team wins · 80.2%
book 1.39x · even 1.30-1.55x
why
• league PROVEN (80.5%, n=41)
• type ledger 75% (n=2279)
• priced 1.39x - band hits ~65% (60d)
league track
proven · 80.5% of 41 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 66.0%)
draws 16.7% of matches
team history 15/16 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 75.2% hit (n=2279, 90d ledger)
measured band: 76.7% (n=682)
night 00-06 kickoffs: 75.4% hit (n=475)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
80.2%
Either team wins
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Draw or Away solid (71.4%)
@ 11 Nov 03:01 · 1.53x
board also had Over 1.5 goals 82.3%
Either team wins solid (80.2%)
@ 11 Nov 03:01 · 1.39x
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
28.6%
Draw
19.9%
Away win
51.6%
calibrated 11 Nov 03:01
scoring fit λ 1.46 / μ 2.02
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 298 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdict
top Away win
51.6%
1.94x 69.5% n=298 risky
Draw
19.9%
5.04x 69.5% n=298 risky
Home win
28.6%
3.5x 69.5% n=298 risky
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 13 meetings — Pachuca Women 3W / 3D / 7L · momentum Pachuca Wom… 2.0 ppg vs Monterrey W… 2.67 ppg
Pachuca Women · last 6
07 Nov · Liga MX Femenil 4-3 W
01 Nov · Liga MX Femenil 0-5 W
25 Oct · Liga MX Femenil 5-0 W
19 Oct · Liga MX Femenil 2-1 L
05 Oct · Liga MX Femenil 1-2 L
27 Sep · Liga MX Femenil 4-1 W
Monterrey Women · last 6
07 Nov · Liga MX Femenil 1-2 W
31 Oct · Liga MX Femenil 6-0 W
26 Oct · Liga MX Femenil 2-2 D
18 Oct · Liga MX Femenil 2-0 W
03 Oct · Liga MX Femenil 4-3 W
27 Sep · Liga MX Femenil 1-2 W
Head-to-head last 5
11 May 26 · Liga MX Femenil Monterrey Women 4-1 Pachuca Women
08 May 26 · Liga MX Femenil Pachuca Women 2-0 Monterrey Women
28 Mar 26 · Liga MX Femenil Pachuca Women 0-1 Monterrey Women
23 Sep 25 · Liga MX Femenil Monterrey Women 0-2 Pachuca Women
06 May 25 · Liga MX Femenil Pachuca Women 4-1 Monterrey Women