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Coupe de France

Chambéry vs Grenoble

Tomorrow 20:00 1 day, 15 hours
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RISK
RISK
Over 0.5 goals · 92.5%
why
• league NEW (100.0%, n=1)
• type ledger 100% (n=44)
• totals are accuracy-only - no pricing edge at book prices (90d: every slice negative; only U2.5/U3.5 carry edge, overs all lose)
league track
new · 100.0% of 1 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 20.7%)
draws 25.0% of matches
team history 0/17 games (180d) · low data
bet type · time of day
OU-O0.5: 100.0% hit (n=44, 90d ledger)
measured band: 93.0% (n=4539)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 75.9% hit (n=2539)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Strongest leg · risky
92.5%
Over 0.5 goals
top model pick, but the gate holds it back (league or evidence not proven) — informational, not advice.
HIGH risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
50.9%
Draw
25.1%
Away win
24.0%
calibrated 11 Nov 03:07
scoring fit λ 1.58 / μ 1.00
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtest pending for this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdict
Away win
24.0%
4.17x – risky
Draw
25.2%
3.98x – risky
top Home win
50.9%
1.97x – risky
Form & head-to-head
no H2H record
Chambéry · last 6
No settled matches on record.
Grenoble · last 6
06 Nov · Ligue 2 3-2 W
30 Oct · Ligue 2 1-3 L
23 Oct · Ligue 2 2-1 L
16 Oct · Ligue 2 0-2 L
09 Oct · Ligue 2 2-0 L
02 Oct · Friendlies Clubs 0-0 D
Head-to-head last 5
First meeting on record.