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AFC U17 Asian Cup

Philippines U17 vs Indonesia U17

Tomorrow 10:30 21 hours, 54 minutes
In
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RISK
RISK
Over 1.5 goals · 92.8%
why
• type ledger 69% (n=403)
• totals are accuracy-only - no pricing edge at book prices (90d: every slice negative; only U2.5/U3.5 carry edge, overs all lose)
league track
new league — not enough graded picks to rate
draws 15.0% of matches
team history 1/0 games (180d) · low data
bet type · time of day
OU-O1.5: 69.5% hit (n=403, 90d ledger)
measured band: 88.5% (n=262)
morning 06-12 kickoffs: 74.7% hit (n=387)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Strongest leg · risky
92.8%
Over 1.5 goals
top model pick, but the gate holds it back (league or evidence not proven) — informational, not advice.
HIGH risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
48.4%
Draw
22.8%
Away win
28.8%
calibrated 10 Nov 09:55
scoring fit λ 2.29 / μ 1.78
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtest pending for this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdict
Away win
28.8%
3.47x – risky
Draw
22.8%
4.38x – risky
top Home win
48.4%
2.07x – risky
Form & head-to-head
no H2H record · momentum Philippines… 3.0 ppg vs Indonesia U… 1.5 ppg
Philippines U17 · last 6
08 Nov · AFC U17 Asian Cup 1-2 W
Indonesia U17 · last 6
12 May · AFC U17 Asian Cup 3-1 L
09 May · AFC U17 Asian Cup 2-0 L
05 May · AFC U17 Asian Cup 1-0 W
12 Dec · Southeast Asian Games 3-1 W
08 Dec · Southeast Asian Games 1-0 L
10 Nov · World Cup - U17 1-2 W
Head-to-head last 5
First meeting on record.