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UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification

Georgia U19 vs Denmark U19

Tomorrow 12:00 1 day, 5 hours
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RISK
RISK
Either team wins · 94.5%
why
• type ledger 75% (n=2265)
• draw-prone league - 'either team wins' dies on draws
• league is untracked (no graded ledger yet)
league track
new league — not enough graded picks to rate
draws 33.3% of matches draw-prone
team history 2/7 games (180d) · low data
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 75.1% hit (n=2265, 90d ledger)
measured band: 87.7% (n=57)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.4% hit (n=3032)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Strongest leg · risky
94.5%
Either team wins
top model pick, but the gate holds it back (league or evidence not proven) — informational, not advice.
HIGH risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
2.0%
Draw
5.5%
Away win
92.6%
calibrated 10 Nov 06:10
scoring fit λ 0.32 / μ 3.31
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 96 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdict
top Away win
92.6%
1.08x 42.7% n=96 solid
Draw
5.5%
18.28x 42.7% n=96 risky
Home win
2.0%
50.95x 42.7% n=96 risky
Form & head-to-head
no H2H record · momentum Georgia U19 0.67 ppg vs Denmark U19 1.0 ppg
Georgia U19 · last 6
09 Jun · UEFA U19 Championship… 2-3 L
03 Jun · UEFA U19 Championship… 1-1 D
15 Nov · UEFA U19 Championship… 3-1 L
12 Nov · UEFA U19 Championship… 0-2 L
25 Mar · UEFA U19 Championship… 1-3 L
22 Mar · UEFA U19 Championship… 0-2 W
Denmark U19 · last 6
06 Oct · Friendlies 1-1 D
03 Oct · Friendlies 3-3 D
30 Sep · Friendlies 1-0 L
08 Jul · UEFA U19 Championship 0-0 D
04 Jul · UEFA U19 Championship 3-0 W
01 Jul · UEFA U19 Championship 0-3 L
Head-to-head last 5
First meeting on record.