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UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification

Croatia U19 vs Hungary U19

Tomorrow 13:00 1 day
Hu
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RISK
RISK
Under 5.5 goals · 90.1%
why
• type ledger 91% (n=47)
• totals are accuracy-only - no pricing edge at book prices (90d: every slice negative; only U2.5/U3.5 carry edge, overs all lose)
league track
new league — not enough graded picks to rate
draws 33.3% of matches
team history 5/3 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
OU-U5.5: 91.5% hit (n=47, 90d ledger)
measured band: 96.7% (n=30)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.4% hit (n=3032)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Strongest leg · risky
90.1%
Under 5.5 goals
top model pick, but the gate holds it back (league or evidence not proven) — informational, not advice.
HIGH risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
61.3%
Draw
19.3%
Away win
19.3%
calibrated 10 Nov 09:55
scoring fit λ 2.08 / μ 1.07
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 96 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdict
Away win
19.3%
5.18x 42.7% n=96 risky
Draw
19.3%
5.17x 42.7% n=96 risky
top Home win
61.3%
1.63x 42.7% n=96 lean
Form & head-to-head
no H2H record · momentum Croatia U19 0.83 ppg vs Hungary U19 1.67 ppg
Croatia U19 · last 6
01 Oct · Friendlies 0-0 D
08 Jul · UEFA U19 Championship 3-0 L
05 Jul · UEFA U19 Championship 0-3 W
02 Jul · UEFA U19 Championship 0-0 D
29 Jun · UEFA U19 Championship 1-3 L
31 Mar · UEFA U19 Championship… 0-2 L
Hungary U19 · last 6
29 Sep · Friendlies 0-4 W
26 Sep · Friendlies 1-1 D
24 Sep · Friendlies 1-2 W
31 Mar · UEFA U19 Championship… 0-4 W
31 Mar · UEFA U19 Championship… 4-2 L
28 Mar · UEFA U19 Championship… 3-2 L
Head-to-head last 5
First meeting on record.