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AFC U17 Asian Cup
Macau U17 vs Syria U17
Tomorrow 13:20 1 daySy
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RISK
RISK
Over 1.5 goals · 93.2%
why
• type ledger 69% (n=403)
• totals are accuracy-only - no pricing edge at book prices (90d: every slice negative; only U2.5/U3.5 carry edge, overs all lose)
league track
new league — not enough graded picks to rate
draws 15.0% of matches
team history 1/1 games (180d) · low data
bet type · time of day
OU-O1.5: 69.5% hit (n=403, 90d ledger)
measured band: 88.5% (n=262)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.4% hit (n=3032)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Strongest leg · risky
93.2%
Over 1.5 goals
top model pick, but the gate holds it back (league or evidence not proven) — informational, not advice.
HIGH risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
44.4%
Draw
22.8%
Away win
32.8%
calibrated 10 Nov 09:55
scoring fit λ 2.22 / μ 1.92
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtest pending for this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
32.8%
|
3.05x | – | risky |
| Draw |
22.8%
|
4.38x | – | risky |
| top Home win |
44.4%
|
2.25x | – | risky |
Form & head-to-head
no H2H record
· momentum Macau U17 1.17 ppg vs Syria U17 3.0 ppg
Macau U17 · last 6
08 Nov · AFC U17 Asian Cup
1-0
W
30 Nov · AFC U17 Asian Cup
0-2
W
28 Nov · AFC U17 Asian Cup
0-4
L
26 Nov · AFC U17 Asian Cup
0-5
L
24 Nov · AFC U17 Asian Cup
1-1
D
22 Nov · AFC U17 Asian Cup
2-0
L
Syria U17 · last 6
08 Nov · AFC U17 Asian Cup
5-1
W
Head-to-head last 5
First meeting on record.