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Cup
Nové Zámky vs Zemplín Michalovce
Tomorrow 14:00 1 day, 3 hours
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RISK
RISK
Under 6.5 goals · 92.2%
why
• league NEW (0.0%, n=2)
• type ledger 100% (n=28)
• totals are accuracy-only - no pricing edge at book prices (90d: every slice negative; only U2.5/U3.5 carry edge, overs all lose)
league track
new · 0.0% of 2 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 0.0%)
draws 16.7% of matches
team history 3/22 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
OU-U6.5: 100.0% hit (n=28, 90d ledger)
measured band: 93.6% (n=1957)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.4% hit (n=3032)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Strongest leg · risky
92.2%
Under 6.5 goals
top model pick, but the gate holds it back (league or evidence not proven) — informational, not advice.
HIGH risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
33.4%
Draw
16.7%
Away win
49.9%
calibrated 10 Nov 09:54
scoring fit λ 1.62 / μ 2.03
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 08 Nov · 243 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| top Away win |
49.9%
|
2.0x | 43.2% n=243 | risky |
| Draw |
16.7%
|
6.0x | 43.2% n=243 | risky |
| Home win |
33.4%
|
2.99x | 43.2% n=243 | risky |
Form & head-to-head
no H2H record
· momentum Nové Zámky 1.0 ppg vs Zemplín Mic… 0.67 ppg
Nové Zámky · last 6
13 Oct · Cup
0-3
W
02 Sep · Cup
3-3
D
04 Jul · Friendlies Clubs
3-2
L
23 Sep · Cup
1-3
L
27 Aug · Cup
2-2
D
Zemplín Michalovce · last 6
08 Nov · Super Liga
2-0
L
31 Oct · Super Liga
4-1
L
24 Oct · Super Liga
1-4
L
18 Oct · Super Liga
1-1
D
13 Oct · Cup
0-3
W
10 Oct · Super Liga
0-3
L
Head-to-head last 5
First meeting on record.