NetScore Engine v2

Pick identifiers — why this card reads RISK

RISK

Home or Draw · 68.2%

book 1.55x · longshot 1.55x+

why

• type ledger 79% (n=1995)

• priced 1.55x - 1.55x+ legs hit ~53% (60d)

• league is untracked (no graded ledger yet)

league track

new league — not enough graded picks to rate

draws 31.7% of matches

team history 4/1 games (180d) · low data

bet type · time of day

DC-1X: 79.0% hit (n=1995, 90d ledger)

measured band: 72.7% (n=150)

afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 76.6% hit (n=3037)

What we suggest

All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.

Strongest leg · risky

68.2%

Home or Draw

top model pick, but the gate holds it back (league or evidence not proven) — informational, not advice.

HIGH risk

Safer

73.8%

Either team wins

safest leg we would still back — lower variance, smaller payout.

Value

No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.

PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade

Pick validation — what the engine actually published

This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.

Home or Draw lean (68.2%)

@ 11 Nov 10:04 · 1.55x

board also had Over 1.5 goals 74.8%

1X2 — engine vs market

Home win

42.1%

Draw

26.2%

Away win

31.8%

calibrated 11 Nov 10:04

scoring fit λ 1.54 / μ 1.31

model–market gap 0.0%

Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID

backtested 28 Oct · 96 matches of this league

fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.

1X2

pick	chance	fair	backtest	verdict
Away win	31.8%	3.15x	42.7% n=96	risky
Draw	26.2%	3.82x	42.7% n=96	risky
top Home win	42.1%	2.38x	42.7% n=96	risky

Form & head-to-head

no H2H record · momentum Albania U19 1.17 ppg vs Cyprus U19 0.17 ppg

Albania U19 · last 6

02 Oct · Friendlies 2-1 W

30 Sep · Friendlies 3-2 W

07 Jun · Friendlies 3-0 L

04 Jun · Friendlies 1-0 L

31 Mar · UEFA U19 Championship… 2-2 D

25 Mar · UEFA U19 Championship… 2-1 L

Cyprus U19 · last 6

27 May · Friendlies 0-2 L

31 Mar · UEFA U19 Championship… 1-3 L

28 Mar · UEFA U19 Championship… 1-0 L

25 Mar · UEFA U19 Championship… 4-0 L

19 Feb · Friendlies 1-1 D

17 Feb · Friendlies 0-3 L

Head-to-head last 5

First meeting on record.

Albania U19 vs Cyprus U19