Ch
HOME
Friendlies

China U19 vs Vietnam U19

Tomorrow 14:35 1 day, 4 hours
AWAY
back to predictions
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RISK
RISK
Over 0.5 goals · 92.4%
why
• league NEW (0.0%, n=1)
• type ledger 100% (n=44)
• totals are accuracy-only - no pricing edge at book prices (90d: every slice negative; only U2.5/U3.5 carry edge, overs all lose)
league track
new · 0.0% of 1 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 0.0%)
draws 28.3% of matches
team history 0/3 games (180d) · low data
bet type · time of day
OU-O0.5: 100.0% hit (n=44, 90d ledger)
measured band: 93.0% (n=4539)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.4% hit (n=3032)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Strongest leg · risky
92.4%
Over 0.5 goals
top model pick, but the gate holds it back (league or evidence not proven) — informational, not advice.
HIGH risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
47.5%
Draw
23.3%
Away win
29.2%
calibrated 10 Nov 09:55
scoring fit λ 1.76 / μ 1.33
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 661 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdict
Away win
29.2%
3.43x 44.3% n=661 risky
Draw
23.3%
4.29x 44.3% n=661 risky
top Home win
47.5%
2.1x 44.3% n=661 risky
Form & head-to-head
no H2H record
China U19 · last 6
No settled matches on record.
Vietnam U19 · last 6
07 Jun · AFF U19 Championship 2-1 L
04 Jun · AFF U19 Championship 0-5 W
01 Jun · AFF U19 Championship 3-0 W
24 Jul · AFF U19 Championship 1-4 W
21 Jul · AFF U19 Championship 6-2 L
18 Jul · AFF U19 Championship 1-1 D
Head-to-head last 5
First meeting on record.