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CAF Women's Champions League

Mamelodi Sundowns Women vs Kawempe Muslim Women

Today 17:00 0 minutes
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AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RISK
RISK
Under 6.5 goals · 94.9%
why
• league NEW (50.0%, n=4)
• type ledger 100% (n=28)
• totals are accuracy-only - no pricing edge at book prices (90d: every slice negative; only U2.5/U3.5 carry edge, overs all lose)
league track
new · 50.0% of 4 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 15.0%)
draws 15.4% of matches
team history 10/3 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
OU-U6.5: 100.0% hit (n=28, 90d ledger)
measured band: 93.6% (n=1957)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 76.6% hit (n=3046)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Strongest leg · risky
94.9%
Under 6.5 goals
top model pick, but the gate holds it back (league or evidence not proven) — informational, not advice.
HIGH risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
36.5%
Draw
23.0%
Away win
40.5%
calibrated 11 Nov 17:01
scoring fit λ 1.60 / μ 1.70
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtest pending for this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdict
top Away win
40.5%
2.47x – risky
Draw
23.0%
4.35x – risky
Home win
36.5%
2.74x – risky
Form & head-to-head
no H2H record · momentum Mamelodi Su… 2.33 ppg vs Kawempe Mus… 2.0 ppg
Mamelodi Sundowns Women · last 6
07 Nov · CAF Women's Champions… 3-0 W
04 Nov · CAF Women's Champions… 1-2 W
01 Nov · CAF Women's Champions… 0-0 D
25 Oct · Super League Women 0-5 W
17 Oct · Super League Women 0-0 D
04 Oct · Super League Women 0-8 W
Kawempe Muslim Women · last 6
08 Nov · CAF Women's Champions… 3-0 W
05 Nov · CAF Women's Champions… 2-1 L
02 Nov · CAF Women's Champions… 2-3 W
Head-to-head last 5
First meeting on record.