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Friendlies
Qatar U23 vs Singapore U23
Today 10:00 6 hours, 29 minutes
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RISK
RISK
Over 0.5 goals · 92.3%
why
• league NEW (0.0%, n=1)
• type ledger 100% (n=44)
• totals are accuracy-only - no pricing edge at book prices (90d: every slice negative; only U2.5/U3.5 carry edge, overs all lose)
league track
new · 0.0% of 1 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 0.0%)
draws 28.3% of matches
team history 9/0 games (180d) · low data
bet type · time of day
OU-O0.5: 100.0% hit (n=44, 90d ledger)
measured band: 93.0% (n=4488)
morning 06-12 kickoffs: 74.5% hit (n=385)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Strongest leg · risky
92.3%
Over 0.5 goals
top model pick, but the gate holds it back (league or evidence not proven) — informational, not advice.
HIGH risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
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1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
48.2%
Draw
23.8%
Away win
27.9%
calibrated 10 Nov 02:57
scoring fit λ 1.71 / μ 1.25
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 661 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
27.9%
|
3.58x | 44.3% n=661 | risky |
| Draw |
23.8%
|
4.2x | 44.3% n=661 | risky |
| top Home win |
48.2%
|
2.07x | 44.3% n=661 | risky |
Form & head-to-head
no H2H record
Qatar U23 · last 6
05 Nov · Second Division
0-3
L
28 Oct · Second Division
2-2
D
15 Oct · Second Division
1-2
W
18 Sep · Asian Games
2-0
L
15 Sep · Asian Games
1-4
L
06 Sep · Second Division
1-1
D
Singapore U23 · last 6
No settled matches on record.
Head-to-head last 5
First meeting on record.