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Copa Uruguay
Boston River vs Atletico Torque
Today 21:30 13 hours
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Either team wins · 87.8%
why
• league PROVEN (88.9%, n=9)
• type ledger 75% (n=2265)
league track
proven · 88.9% of 9 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 56.5%)
draws 25.0% of matches
team history 27/33 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 75.1% hit (n=2265, 90d ledger)
measured band: 80.0% (n=305)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 75.9% hit (n=2529)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
87.8%
Either team wins
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
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Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Either team wins
solid (87.8%)
@ 10 Nov 06:08
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
1.9%
Draw
12.2%
Away win
85.9%
calibrated 10 Nov 06:08
scoring fit λ 0.24 / μ 2.47
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtest pending for this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| top Away win |
85.9%
|
1.17x | – | solid |
| Draw |
12.2%
|
8.19x | – | risky |
| Home win |
1.9%
|
51.26x | – | risky |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 12 meetings — Boston River 4W / 3D / 5L
· momentum Boston River 1.67 ppg vs Atletico To… 2.5 ppg
Boston River · last 6
04 Nov · Copa Uruguay
0-2
W
01 Nov · Primera División - Ap…
1-2
L
25 Oct · Primera División - Ap…
2-0
L
17 Oct · Primera División - Ap…
1-0
W
14 Oct · Copa Uruguay
0-0
D
10 Oct · Primera División - Ap…
1-3
W
Atletico Torque · last 6
06 Nov · Copa Uruguay
0-6
W
01 Nov · Primera División - Ap…
1-2
W
28 Oct · Copa Uruguay
0-2
W
25 Oct · Primera División - Ap…
3-1
W
21 Oct · CONMEBOL Sudamericana
2-0
W
18 Oct · Primera División - Ap…
2-1
L
Head-to-head last 5
01 Nov 26 · Primera División - Ap…
Boston River 1-2 Atletico Torque
25 Apr 26 · Primera División - Ap…
Atletico Torque 4-1 Boston River
09 Aug 25 · Primera División - Cl…
Atletico Torque 1-1 Boston River
24 Jun 25 · Primera División - Ap…
Boston River 2-1 Atletico Torque
10 Feb 25 · Primera División - Ap…
Boston River 0-0 Atletico Torque
Tickets including this match