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AFC U17 Asian Cup
Pakistan U17 vs IR Iran U17
Tomorrow 11:00 22 hours, 30 minutes
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RISK
RISK
Either team wins · 94.4%
why
• type ledger 75% (n=2267)
• league is untracked (no graded ledger yet)
league track
new league — not enough graded picks to rate
draws 15.0% of matches
team history 1/0 games (180d) · low data
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 75.2% hit (n=2267, 90d ledger)
measured band: 87.7% (n=57)
morning 06-12 kickoffs: 74.7% hit (n=387)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Strongest leg · risky
94.4%
Either team wins
top model pick, but the gate holds it back (league or evidence not proven) — informational, not advice.
HIGH risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
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1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
2.9%
Draw
5.6%
Away win
91.5%
calibrated 10 Nov 09:55
scoring fit λ 0.64 / μ 3.84
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtest pending for this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| top Away win |
91.5%
|
1.09x | – | solid |
| Draw |
5.6%
|
17.91x | – | risky |
| Home win |
2.9%
|
33.99x | – | risky |
Form & head-to-head
no H2H record
· momentum Pakistan U17 2.0 ppg vs IR Iran U17 1.33 ppg
Pakistan U17 · last 6
08 Nov · AFC U17 Asian Cup
1-3
W
30 Nov · AFC U17 Asian Cup
0-11
W
28 Nov · AFC U17 Asian Cup
1-5
L
26 Nov · AFC U17 Asian Cup
1-2
L
24 Nov · AFC U17 Asian Cup
1-3
W
22 Nov · AFC U17 Asian Cup
1-3
W
IR Iran U17 · last 6
30 Nov · AFC U17 Asian Cup
1-2
L
26 Nov · AFC U17 Asian Cup
1-1
D
24 Nov · AFC U17 Asian Cup
0-5
W
11 Apr · AFC U17 Asian Cup
1-3
L
05 Apr · AFC U17 Asian Cup
1-1
D
17 Nov · World Cup - U17
5-0
W
Head-to-head last 5
First meeting on record.