HOME
Copa de la División Profesional
Nacional Potosí vs Real Potosí
Tomorrow 21:00 1 day, 14 hours
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Home or Draw · 85.0%
why
• league PROVEN (100.0%, n=8)
• type ledger 80% (n=1995)
league track
proven · 100.0% of 8 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 67.6%)
draws 18.3% of matches
team history 30/29 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-1X: 79.8% hit (n=1995, 90d ledger)
measured band: 81.5% (n=427)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 75.9% hit (n=2529)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
85.0%
Home or Draw
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Safer
81.2%
Home, draw refunds
safest leg we would still back — lower variance, smaller payout.
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Home or Draw
solid (85.0%)
@ 10 Nov 06:08
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
65.2%
Draw
19.8%
Away win
15.0%
calibrated 10 Nov 06:08
scoring fit λ 2.07 / μ 0.87
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 07 Nov · 174 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
15.0%
|
6.65x | 52.3% n=174 | risky |
| Draw |
19.8%
|
5.06x | 52.3% n=174 | risky |
| top Home win |
65.2%
|
1.53x | 52.3% n=174 | lean |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 9 meetings — Nacional Poto… 3W / 3D / 3L
· momentum Nacional Po… 1.33 ppg vs Real Potosí 1.33 ppg
Nacional Potosí · last 6
08 Nov · Primera División
1-1
D
04 Nov · Copa de la División P…
5-1
W
31 Oct · Primera División
1-1
D
27 Oct · Primera División
3-0
W
22 Oct · Copa de la División P…
3-2
L
18 Oct · Primera División
0-1
L
Real Potosí · last 6
08 Nov · Primera División
1-1
D
05 Nov · Copa de la División P…
1-0
L
31 Oct · Primera División
1-1
D
24 Oct · Primera División
2-1
L
22 Oct · Copa de la División P…
3-1
W
16 Oct · Primera División
0-1
W
Head-to-head last 5
08 Nov 26 · Primera División
Nacional Potosí 1-1 Real Potosí
23 Sep 26 · Copa de la División P…
Nacional Potosí 0-1 Real Potosí
20 Sep 26 · Copa de la División P…
Real Potosí 2-2 Nacional Potosí
12 Jul 26 · Primera División
Real Potosí 1-1 Nacional Potosí
08 Feb 26 · Torneo Amistoso de Ve…
Nacional Potosí 0-1 Real Potosí
Tickets including this match