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Ligue 1

Stade d'Abidjan vs Bouaké

Sun 08 Nov 15:30 0 minutes
Bo
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RISK
RISK
Under 4.5 goals · 91.9%
why
• league AT_RISK (45.5%, n=22)
• type ledger 82% (n=109)
• league's published legs underperform
league track
at risk · 45.5% of 22 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 26.9%)
draws 31.7% of matches
team history 6/7 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
OU-U4.5: 81.7% hit (n=109, 90d ledger)
measured band: 87.8% (n=1085)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.5% hit (n=3023)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Strongest leg · risky
91.9%
Under 4.5 goals
top model pick, but the gate holds it back (league or evidence not proven) — informational, not advice.
HIGH risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
44.1%
Draw
26.8%
Away win
29.1%
calibrated 08 Nov 17:26
scoring fit λ 1.29 / μ 0.98
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 448 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdict
Away win
29.1%
3.44x 43.8% n=448 risky
Draw
26.8%
3.73x 43.8% n=448 risky
top Home win
44.1%
2.27x 43.8% n=448 risky
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 8 meetings — Stade d'Abidj… 2W / 4D / 2L · momentum Stade d'Abi… 2.0 ppg vs Bouaké 1.17 ppg
Stade d'Abidjan · last 6
25 Oct · Ligue 1 1-1 D
10 Oct · Ligue 1 1-1 D
07 Oct · Ligue 1 5-6 W
26 Sep · Ligue 1 0-0 D
24 May · Ligue 1 1-0 W
17 May · Ligue 1 0-1 W
Bouaké · last 6
29 Oct · Ligue 1 2-0 W
24 Oct · Ligue 1 2-1 L
10 Oct · Ligue 1 0-3 L
07 Oct · Ligue 1 1-0 L
27 Sep · Ligue 1 2-1 W
24 May · Ligue 1 0-0 D
Head-to-head last 5
13 Apr 26 · Ligue 1 Bouaké 0-1 Stade d'Abidjan
01 Nov 25 · Ligue 1 Stade d'Abidjan 2-2 Bouaké
13 Apr 25 · Ligue 1 Bouaké 0-1 Stade d'Abidjan
01 Dec 24 · Ligue 1 Stade d'Abidjan 0-2 Bouaké
27 Apr 24 · Ligue 1 Stade d'Abidjan 0-4 Bouaké