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Liga MX Femenil
Pumas UNAM Women vs Atlético San Luis Women
Fri 06 Nov 01:00 0 minutes final 3–1 · 1 won · 0 lostAt
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Home, draw refunds · 85.8%
book 1.21x · short <1.30x
why
• league PROVEN (80.5%, n=41)
• type ledger 71% (n=63)
• short price 1.21x
league track
proven · 80.5% of 41 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 66.0%)
draws 16.7% of matches
team history 14/14 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DNB-H: 71.4% hit (n=63, 90d ledger)
measured band: 86.0% (n=172)
night 00-06 kickoffs: 75.3% hit (n=473)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
85.8%
Home, draw refunds
engine's strongest option for this match
LOW risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
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Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Home, draw refunds
solid (85.8%)
@ 07 Nov 00:43 · 1.21x
pick won
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
72.9%
Draw
15.1%
Away win
12.0%
calibrated 07 Nov 00:43
scoring fit λ 2.47 / μ 0.88
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 298 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
12.0%
|
8.32x | 69.5% n=298 | risky | lost |
| Draw |
15.1%
|
6.64x | 69.5% n=298 | risky | lost |
| top Home win |
72.9%
|
1.37x | 69.5% n=298 | solid | won |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 12 meetings — Pumas UNAM Wo… 8W / 2D / 2L
· momentum Pumas UNAM … 1.33 ppg vs Atlético Sa… 0.67 ppg
Pumas UNAM Women · last 6
07 Nov · Liga MX Femenil
3-1
W
31 Oct · Liga MX Femenil
6-0
L
24 Oct · Liga MX Femenil
1-1
D
18 Oct · Liga MX Femenil
1-0
W
03 Oct · Liga MX Femenil
1-3
L
28 Sep · Liga MX Femenil
0-0
D
Atlético San Luis Women · last 6
07 Nov · Liga MX Femenil
3-1
L
03 Nov · Liga MX Femenil
1-0
L
26 Oct · Liga MX Femenil
0-7
L
19 Oct · Liga MX Femenil
1-2
L
04 Oct · Liga MX Femenil
0-1
W
28 Sep · Liga MX Femenil
1-1
D
Head-to-head last 5
07 Nov 26 · Liga MX Femenil
Pumas UNAM Women 3-1 Atlético San Lu…
10 Jan 26 · Liga MX Femenil
Atlético San Lu… 1-1 Pumas UNAM Women
30 Sep 25 · Liga MX Femenil
Pumas UNAM Women 1-2 Atlético San Lu…
04 Jan 25 · Liga MX Femenil
Pumas UNAM Women 2-0 Atlético San Lu…
04 Aug 24 · Liga MX Femenil
Atlético San Lu… 1-2 Pumas UNAM Women