HOME
Liga I
FCSB vs Corvinul Hunedoara
Sat 07 Nov 20:00 0 minutes final 0–1 · 1 won · 1 lost
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Home or Draw · 87.2%
book 1.22x · short <1.30x
why
• league OK (67.7%, n=31)
• type ledger 80% (n=1986)
• short price 1.22x
league track
ok · 67.7% of 31 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 50.1%)
draws 18.3% of matches
team history 23/20 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-1X: 79.9% hit (n=1986, 90d ledger)
measured band: 85.0% (n=293)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 76.0% hit (n=2522)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
87.2%
Home or Draw
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Either team wins
solid (80.5%)
@ 07 Nov 17:56 · 1.33x
board also had Home or Draw 87.2%
pick won
Home or Draw
solid (87.2%)
@ 07 Nov 17:56 · 1.22x
pick lost
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
67.7%
Draw
19.5%
Away win
12.8%
calibrated 07 Nov 17:55
scoring fit λ 2.09 / μ 0.78
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 313 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
12.8%
|
7.79x | 51.8% n=313 | risky | won |
| Draw |
19.5%
|
5.14x | 51.8% n=313 | risky | lost |
| top Home win |
67.7%
|
1.48x | 51.8% n=313 | lean | lost |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 1 meetings — FCSB 0W / 0D / 1L
· momentum FCSB 1.5 ppg vs Corvinul Hu… 1.67 ppg
FCSB · last 6
07 Nov · Liga I
0-1
L
31 Oct · Liga I
1-0
L
28 Oct · Cupa României
1-0
L
24 Oct · Liga I
4-1
W
17 Oct · Liga I
1-2
W
10 Oct · Liga I
1-0
W
Corvinul Hunedoara · last 6
07 Nov · Liga I
0-1
W
31 Oct · Liga I
2-0
W
28 Oct · Cupa României
0-0
D
24 Oct · Liga I
0-3
L
17 Oct · Liga I
2-0
L
09 Oct · Liga I
3-2
W
Head-to-head last 5
07 Nov 26 · Liga I
FCSB 0-1 Corvinul Hunedo…