HOME
Jupiler Pro League
Club Brugge KV vs Anderlecht
Sun 08 Nov 14:30 0 minutes final 1–1 · 1 won · 0 lost
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Home or Draw · 86.2%
book 1.22x · short <1.30x
why
• league PROVEN (74.2%, n=31)
• type ledger 80% (n=1980)
• short price 1.22x
league track
proven · 74.2% of 31 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 56.8%)
draws 16.7% of matches
team history 23/27 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-1X: 79.9% hit (n=1980, 90d ledger)
measured band: 84.9% (n=292)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.5% hit (n=3023)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
86.2%
Home or Draw
engine's strongest option for this match
LOW risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Home or Draw
solid (86.2%)
@ 08 Nov 10:36 · 1.22x
pick won
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
65.6%
Draw
20.6%
Away win
13.8%
calibrated 08 Nov 10:36
scoring fit λ 2.37 / μ 1.04
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 305 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
13.8%
|
7.23x | 47.9% n=305 | risky | lost |
| Draw |
20.6%
|
4.85x | 47.9% n=305 | risky | won |
| top Home win |
65.6%
|
1.52x | 47.9% n=305 | lean | lost |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 78 meetings — Club Brugge KV 35W / 21D / 22L
· momentum Club Brugge… 2.67 ppg vs Anderlecht 1.67 ppg
Club Brugge KV · last 6
08 Nov · Jupiler Pro League
1-1
D
04 Nov · UEFA Champions League
1-2
W
30 Oct · Jupiler Pro League
2-4
W
25 Oct · Jupiler Pro League
3-2
W
21 Oct · UEFA Champions League
3-0
W
17 Oct · Cup
1-0
W
Anderlecht · last 6
08 Nov · Jupiler Pro League
1-1
D
05 Nov · UEFA Europa League
2-0
W
31 Oct · Jupiler Pro League
4-1
W
25 Oct · Jupiler Pro League
4-0
L
22 Oct · UEFA Europa League
0-3
W
18 Oct · Cup
2-1
L
Head-to-head last 5
08 Nov 26 · Jupiler Pro League
Club Brugge KV 1-1 Anderlecht
03 May 26 · Jupiler Pro League
Anderlecht 1-3 Club Brugge KV
06 Apr 26 · Jupiler Pro League
Club Brugge KV 4-2 Anderlecht
08 Mar 26 · Jupiler Pro League
Club Brugge KV 2-2 Anderlecht
09 Nov 25 · Jupiler Pro League
Anderlecht 1-0 Club Brugge KV
Tickets including this match