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Liga Premier Serie A
Guerreros vs Guerreros Del Pacifico
Sun 08 Nov 00:00 0 minutes final 3–1 · 1 won · 0 lostGu
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Either team wins · 76.3%
why
• league PROVEN (83.9%, n=31)
• type ledger 75% (n=2256)
league track
proven · 83.9% of 31 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 67.4%)
draws 15.0% of matches
team history 10/11 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 75.0% hit (n=2256, 90d ledger)
measured band: 74.8% (n=936)
night 00-06 kickoffs: 75.1% hit (n=470)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
76.3%
Either team wins
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
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Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Either team wins
solid (76.3%)
@ 09 Nov 00:19
pick won
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
48.2%
Draw
23.7%
Away win
28.0%
calibrated 09 Nov 00:19
scoring fit λ 1.97 / μ 1.48
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 438 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
28.0%
|
3.57x | 53.9% n=438 | risky | lost |
| Draw |
23.7%
|
4.21x | 53.9% n=438 | risky | lost |
| top Home win |
48.2%
|
2.07x | 53.9% n=438 | risky | won |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 1 meetings — Guerreros 1W / 0D / 0L
· momentum Guerreros 1.83 ppg vs Guerreros D… 1.33 ppg
Guerreros · last 6
09 Nov · Liga Premier Serie A
3-1
W
01 Nov · Liga Premier Serie A
3-2
L
26 Oct · Liga Premier Serie A
2-1
W
17 Oct · Liga Premier Serie A
0-0
D
05 Oct · Liga Premier Serie A
2-2
D
28 Sep · Liga Premier Serie A
3-0
W
Guerreros Del Pacifico · last 6
09 Nov · Liga Premier Serie A
3-1
L
31 Oct · Liga Premier Serie A
5-0
W
26 Oct · Liga Premier Serie A
3-3
D
22 Oct · Liga Premier Serie A
2-4
W
18 Oct · Liga Premier Serie A
3-3
D
13 Oct · Liga Premier Serie A
5-1
L
Head-to-head last 5
09 Nov 26 · Liga Premier Serie A
Guerreros 3-1 Guerreros Del P…