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UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification

Spain U19 vs Iceland U19

Tomorrow 17:00 1 day, 10 hours
Ic
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RISK
RISK
Home win · 93.8%
why
• type ledger 56% (n=234)
• league is untracked (no graded ledger yet)
league track
new league — not enough graded picks to rate
draws 33.3% of matches
team history 5/2 games (180d) · low data
bet type · time of day
FTR-H: 56.0% hit (n=234, 90d ledger)
measured band: 90.0% (n=50)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.4% hit (n=3032)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Strongest leg · risky
93.8%
Home win
top model pick, but the gate holds it back (league or evidence not proven) — informational, not advice.
HIGH risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
93.8%
Draw
4.2%
Away win
2.0%
calibrated 10 Nov 06:10
scoring fit λ 3.58 / μ 0.35
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 96 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdict
Away win
2.0%
50.98x 42.7% n=96 risky
Draw
4.2%
23.87x 42.7% n=96 risky
top Home win
93.9%
1.07x 42.7% n=96 solid
Form & head-to-head
no H2H record · momentum Spain U19 2.5 ppg vs Iceland U19 0.8 ppg
Spain U19 · last 6
11 Jul · UEFA U19 Championship 2-0 W
08 Jul · UEFA U19 Championship 3-0 W
04 Jul · UEFA U19 Championship 4-0 W
01 Jul · UEFA U19 Championship 0-3 W
28 Jun · UEFA U19 Championship 0-7 W
31 Mar · UEFA U19 Championship… 0-3 L
Iceland U19 · last 6
09 Jun · UEFA U19 Championship… 2-3 W
06 Jun · UEFA U19 Championship… 1-1 D
28 Mar · Friendlies 4-0 L
26 Mar · Friendlies 1-2 L
18 Nov · UEFA U19 Championship… 0-3 L
Head-to-head last 5
First meeting on record.