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UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification

Kazakhstan U19 vs Scotland U19

Today 17:30 2 hours, 51 minutes
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RISK
RISK
Draw or Away · 75.2%
book 1.38x · even 1.30-1.55x
why
• type ledger 75% (n=658)
• priced 1.38x - band hits ~65% (60d)
• league is untracked (no graded ledger yet)
league track
new league — not enough graded picks to rate
draws 31.7% of matches
team history 4/0 games (180d) · low data
bet type · time of day
DC-X2: 74.8% hit (n=658, 90d ledger)
measured band: 75.8% (n=128)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 76.6% hit (n=3037)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Strongest leg · risky
75.2%
Draw or Away
top model pick, but the gate holds it back (league or evidence not proven) — informational, not advice.
HIGH risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Draw or Away solid (75.2%)
@ 11 Nov 10:04 · 1.38x
board also had Under 4.5 goals 83.2%
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
24.8%
Draw
23.7%
Away win
51.5%
calibrated 11 Nov 10:04
scoring fit λ 1.13 / μ 1.73
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 96 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdict
top Away win
51.5%
1.94x 42.7% n=96 risky
Draw
23.7%
4.21x 42.7% n=96 risky
Home win
24.8%
4.04x 42.7% n=96 risky
Form & head-to-head
no H2H record
Kazakhstan U19 · last 6
01 Oct · Friendlies 1-0 L
09 Jun · UEFA U19 Championship… 2-4 L
06 Jun · UEFA U19 Championship… 1-3 W
03 Jun · UEFA U19 Championship… 1-1 D
31 Mar · UEFA U19 Championship… 1-0 W
28 Mar · UEFA U19 Championship… 3-0 L
Scotland U19 · last 6
No settled matches on record.
Head-to-head last 5
First meeting on record.