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UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification

France U19 vs Norway U19

Today 19:00 5 hours, 3 minutes
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RISK
RISK
Over 0.5 goals · 94.1%
why
• type ledger 100% (n=44)
• totals are accuracy-only - no pricing edge at book prices (90d: every slice negative; only U2.5/U3.5 carry edge, overs all lose)
league track
new league — not enough graded picks to rate
draws 33.3% of matches
team history 1/4 games (180d) · low data
bet type · time of day
OU-O0.5: 100.0% hit (n=44, 90d ledger)
measured band: 93.0% (n=4539)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 76.4% hit (n=2540)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Strongest leg · risky
94.1%
Over 0.5 goals
top model pick, but the gate holds it back (league or evidence not proven) — informational, not advice.
HIGH risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
57.7%
Draw
22.1%
Away win
20.3%
calibrated 11 Nov 10:04
scoring fit λ 1.92 / μ 1.05
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 96 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdict
Away win
20.3%
4.94x 42.7% n=96 risky
Draw
22.1%
4.53x 42.7% n=96 risky
top Home win
57.7%
1.73x 42.7% n=96 lean
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 2 meetings — France U19 0W / 1D / 1L · momentum France U19 2.33 ppg vs Norway U19 2.17 ppg
France U19 · last 6
01 Oct · Friendlies 2-0 W
31 Mar · UEFA U19 Championship… 2-3 W
31 Mar · UEFA U19 Championship… 1-1 D
28 Mar · UEFA U19 Championship… 2-1 W
28 Mar · UEFA U19 Championship… 1-0 W
25 Mar · UEFA U19 Championship… 0-0 D
Norway U19 · last 6
02 Oct · Friendlies 0-2 W
29 Sep · Friendlies 2-1 L
05 Jun · Friendlies 0-2 W
03 Jun · Friendlies 6-2 W
31 Mar · UEFA U19 Championship… 2-2 D
31 Mar · UEFA U19 Championship… 2-1 W
Head-to-head last 5
25 Mar 26 · UEFA U19 Championship… France U19 2-2 Norway U19
25 Mar 23 · UEFA U19 Championship… France U19 1-2 Norway U19