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CAF U23 Cup of Nations
Libya U23 vs Ghana U23
Tomorrow 19:00 1 day, 6 hours
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RISK
RISK
Under 0.5 goals · 90.5%
why
• type ledger thin (n=1)
• totals are accuracy-only - no pricing edge at book prices (90d: every slice negative; only U2.5/U3.5 carry edge, overs all lose)
league track
new league — not enough graded picks to rate
draws 100.0% of matches
team history 0/0 games (180d) · low data
bet type · time of day
OU-U0.5: type ledger thin (n=1)
measured band: 11.6% (n=112)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 75.9% hit (n=2529)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Strongest leg · risky
90.5%
Under 0.5 goals
top model pick, but the gate holds it back (league or evidence not proven) — informational, not advice.
HIGH risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
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1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
2.1%
Draw
95.8%
Away win
2.1%
calibrated 10 Nov 09:55
scoring fit λ 0.05 / μ 0.05
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtest pending for this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
2.1%
|
48.0x | – | risky |
| top Draw |
95.8%
|
1.04x | – | solid |
| Home win |
2.1%
|
48.0x | – | risky |
Form & head-to-head
no H2H record
Libya U23 · last 6
No settled matches on record.
Ghana U23 · last 6
No settled matches on record.
Head-to-head last 5
First meeting on record.