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Paraense U20

Tuna Luso PA U20 vs CRT-23 Benevides U20

Today 14:30 11 hours, 6 minutes
CR
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RISK
RISK
Over 0.5 goals · 94.2%
why
• type ledger 100% (n=44)
• totals are accuracy-only - no pricing edge at book prices (90d: every slice negative; only U2.5/U3.5 carry edge, overs all lose)
league track
new league — not enough graded picks to rate
draws 14.8% of matches
team history 1/0 games (180d) · low data
bet type · time of day
OU-O0.5: 100.0% hit (n=44, 90d ledger)
measured band: 92.9% (n=4118)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.5% hit (n=3022)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Strongest leg · risky
94.2%
Over 0.5 goals
top model pick, but the gate holds it back (league or evidence not proven) — informational, not advice.
HIGH risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
9.8%
Draw
17.8%
Away win
72.4%
calibrated 09 Nov 02:54
scoring fit λ 0.66 / μ 2.18
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtest pending for this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdict
top Away win
72.4%
1.38x – solid
Draw
17.8%
5.63x – risky
Home win
9.8%
10.18x – risky
Form & head-to-head
no H2H record
Tuna Luso PA U20 · last 6
07 Oct · Copa do Brasil U20 1-1 D
13 Jan · São Paulo Youth Cup 1-0 L
09 Jan · São Paulo Youth Cup 1-0 L
06 Jan · São Paulo Youth Cup 1-1 D
03 Jan · São Paulo Youth Cup 0-0 D
16 Sep · Paraense U20 4-0 W
CRT-23 Benevides U20 · last 6
No settled matches on record.
Head-to-head last 5
First meeting on record.