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Première Division

Cs Bamako vs Binga

Fri 06 Nov 20:30 0 minutes final 1–1 · settled
Bi
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Under 3.5 goals · 88.1%
why
• league OK (71.4%, n=14)
• type ledger 71% (n=343)
league track
ok · 71.4% of 14 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 45.4%)
draws 26.7% of matches
team history 2/8 games (180d) · low data
bet type · time of day
OU-U3.5: 71.4% hit (n=343, 90d ledger)
measured band: 87.6% (n=97)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 75.9% hit (n=2529)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
88.1%
Under 3.5 goals
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
38.5%
Draw
33.8%
Away win
27.7%
calibrated 06 Nov 18:11
scoring fit λ 1.03 / μ 0.83
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 182 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdictresult
Away win
27.7%
3.61x 47.8% n=182 risky lost
Draw
33.8%
2.96x 47.8% n=182 risky won
top Home win
38.5%
2.6x 47.8% n=182 risky lost
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 1 meetings — Cs Bamako 0W / 1D / 0L · momentum Cs Bamako 1.0 ppg vs Binga 0.83 ppg
Cs Bamako · last 6
06 Nov · Première Division 1-1 D
02 Nov · Première Division 0-0 D
Binga · last 6
06 Nov · Première Division 1-1 D
01 Nov · Première Division 2-0 W
13 Jun · Première Division 0-0 D
09 Jun · Première Division 2-1 L
05 Jun · Première Division 0-1 L
02 Jun · Première Division 2-1 L
Head-to-head last 5
06 Nov 26 · Première Division Cs Bamako 1-1 Binga
Tickets including this match
VALUE win chance 77.3% WON VALUE win chance 69.7% WON TREBLE win chance 71.0% LOST VALUE win chance 78.9% VOID