Equatorial Guinea U23 vs Niger U23

Today 18:00 14 hours, 36 minutes

AWAY

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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RISK

RISK

Under 5.5 goals · 95.0%

why

• type ledger 91% (n=47)

• totals are accuracy-only - no pricing edge at book prices (90d: every slice negative; only U2.5/U3.5 carry edge, overs all lose)

league track

new league — not enough graded picks to rate

team history 0/0 games (180d) · low data

bet type · time of day

OU-U5.5: 91.5% hit (n=47, 90d ledger)

measured band: 96.7% (n=30)

evening 18-24 kickoffs: 75.9% hit (n=2515)

What we suggest

All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.

Strongest leg · risky

95.0%

Under 5.5 goals

top model pick, but the gate holds it back (league or evidence not proven) — informational, not advice.

HIGH risk

Value

No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.

PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade

1X2 — engine vs market

Home win

43.1%

Draw

26.0%

Away win

30.9%

calibrated 09 Nov 02:54

scoring fit λ 1.44 / μ 1.18

Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID

backtest pending for this league

fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.

1X2

pick	chance	fair	backtest	verdict
Away win	30.9%	3.24x	–	risky
Draw	26.0%	3.85x	–	risky
top Home win	43.1%	2.32x	–	risky

Form & head-to-head

no H2H record

Equatorial Guinea U23 · last 6

No settled matches on record.

Niger U23 · last 6

No settled matches on record.

Head-to-head last 5

First meeting on record.