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CONCACAF Nations League

Curaçao vs Panama

Today 23:00 17 hours, 23 minutes
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RISK
RISK
Under 6.5 goals · 90.8%
why
• type ledger 100% (n=28)
• totals are accuracy-only - no pricing edge at book prices (90d: every slice negative; only U2.5/U3.5 carry edge, overs all lose)
league track
new league — not enough graded picks to rate
draws 11.7% of matches
team history 8/8 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
OU-U6.5: 100.0% hit (n=28, 90d ledger)
measured band: 93.3% (n=1742)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 75.9% hit (n=2519)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Strongest leg · risky
90.8%
Under 6.5 goals
top model pick, but the gate holds it back (league or evidence not proven) — informational, not advice.
HIGH risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
29.0%
Draw
26.8%
Away win
44.2%
calibrated 09 Nov 02:54
scoring fit λ 1.71 / μ 2.10
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 06 Nov · None matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdict
top Away win
44.2%
2.26x – risky
Draw
26.8%
3.73x – risky
Home win
29.0%
3.45x – risky
Form & head-to-head
no H2H record · momentum Curaçao 1.33 ppg vs Panama 0.5 ppg
Curaçao · last 6
05 Oct · CONCACAF Nations Leag… 1-1 D
28 Sep · CONCACAF Nations Leag… 6-1 W
25 Sep · CONCACAF Nations Leag… 3-4 W
25 Jun · World Cup 0-2 L
21 Jun · World Cup 0-0 D
14 Jun · World Cup 7-1 L
Panama · last 6
01 Oct · Friendlies 1-1 D
25 Sep · Friendlies 1-1 D
27 Jun · World Cup 0-2 L
24 Jun · World Cup 0-1 L
18 Jun · World Cup 1-0 L
06 Jun · Friendlies 1-1 D
Head-to-head last 5
First meeting on record.