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Premier League
Kaédi vs SNIM
Sun 08 Nov 18:30 0 minutes final 1–0 · 0 won · 1 lost
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Draw or Away · 84.3%
why
• league OK (68.2%, n=22)
• type ledger 77% (n=658)
league track
ok · 68.2% of 22 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 47.3%)
draws 33.3% of matches
team history 6/7 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-X2: 76.6% hit (n=658, 90d ledger)
measured band: 72.3% (n=65)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 75.9% hit (n=2519)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
84.3%
Draw or Away
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Safer
74.1%
Away, draw refunds
safest leg we would still back — lower variance, smaller payout.
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
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Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Draw or Away
solid (84.3%)
@ 08 Nov 17:26
pick lost
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
15.7%
Draw
39.2%
Away win
45.1%
calibrated 08 Nov 17:26
scoring fit λ 0.86 / μ 1.47
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 31 Oct · 31 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| top Away win |
45.1%
|
2.22x | 67.7% n=31 | risky | lost |
| Draw |
39.2%
|
2.55x | 67.7% n=31 | risky | lost |
| Home win |
15.7%
|
6.35x | 67.7% n=31 | risky | won |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 11 meetings — Kaédi 4W / 4D / 3L
· momentum Kaédi 1.17 ppg vs SNIM 0.33 ppg
Kaédi · last 6
08 Nov · Premier League
1-0
W
01 Nov · Premier League
3-1
L
19 Oct · Premier League
2-0
L
10 Oct · Premier League
0-0
D
23 May · Premier League
2-0
L
20 May · Premier League
0-1
W
SNIM · last 6
06 Jan · Premier League
0-2
L
08 Nov · Premier League
1-0
L
03 Nov · Premier League
0-0
D
29 Oct · Premier League
1-0
L
11 Oct · Premier League
1-1
D
24 May · Premier League
2-1
L
Head-to-head last 5
08 Nov 26 · Premier League
Kaédi 1-0 SNIM
07 Feb 26 · Premier League
SNIM 1-1 Kaédi
25 Oct 25 · Premier League
Kaédi 1-3 SNIM
23 May 25 · Premier League
SNIM 3-1 Kaédi
12 Jan 25 · Premier League
Kaédi 1-0 SNIM