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Cup

RM Hamm Benfica vs Jeunesse Canach

Sun 08 Nov 17:00 0 minutes final 1–2 · settled
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RISK
RISK
Either team wins · 93.6%
why
• league NEW (50.0%, n=2)
• type ledger 75% (n=2259)
• league has no graded history yet (needs n>=8)
league track
new · 50.0% of 2 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 9.5%)
draws 6.7% of matches
team history 2/4 games (180d) · low data
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 75.1% hit (n=2259, 90d ledger)
measured band: 87.7% (n=57)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.5% hit (n=3023)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Strongest leg · risky
93.6%
Either team wins
top model pick, but the gate holds it back (league or evidence not proven) — informational, not advice.
HIGH risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
2.3%
Draw
6.4%
Away win
91.3%
calibrated 08 Nov 17:29
scoring fit λ 0.25 / μ 2.94
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 08 Nov · 243 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdictresult
top Away win
91.3%
1.09x 43.2% n=243 solid won
Draw
6.4%
15.67x 43.2% n=243 risky lost
Home win
2.3%
43.92x 43.2% n=243 risky lost
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 1 meetings — RM Hamm Benfi… 0W / 0D / 1L · momentum RM Hamm Ben… 0.33 ppg vs Jeunesse Ca… 1.33 ppg
RM Hamm Benfica · last 6
08 Nov · Cup 1-2 L
04 Jul · Friendlies Clubs 0-4 L
04 Mar · Cup 0-2 L
09 Jul · Friendlies Clubs 0-0 D
23 Jul · Friendlies Clubs 2-2 D
01 Oct · Cup 1-3 L
Jeunesse Canach · last 6
08 Nov · Cup 1-2 W
01 Jun · National Division 1-1 D
23 May · National Division 0-0 D
17 May · National Division 0-5 L
10 May · National Division 1-0 L
03 May · National Division 1-0 W
Head-to-head last 5
08 Nov 26 · Cup RM Hamm Benfica 1-2 Jeunesse Canach