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AFC U17 Asian Cup

Brunei U17 vs Lebanon U17

Sun 08 Nov 18:00 0 minutes final 0–7 · settled
Le
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RISK
RISK
Over 2.5 goals · 87.5%
why
• type ledger 65% (n=34)
• totals are accuracy-only - no pricing edge at book prices (90d: every slice negative; only U2.5/U3.5 carry edge, overs all lose)
league track
new league — not enough graded picks to rate
draws 15.0% of matches
team history 1/1 games (180d) · low data
bet type · time of day
OU-O2.5: 64.7% hit (n=34, 90d ledger)
measured band: 66.7% (n=87)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 75.9% hit (n=2519)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Strongest leg · risky
87.5%
Over 2.5 goals
top model pick, but the gate holds it back (league or evidence not proven) — informational, not advice.
HIGH risk
Safer
80.8%
Either team wins
safest leg we would still back — lower variance, smaller payout.
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
47.0%
Draw
19.2%
Away win
33.8%
calibrated 08 Nov 17:29
scoring fit λ 2.69 / μ 2.30
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtest pending for this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdictresult
Away win
33.8%
2.96x – risky won
Draw
19.2%
5.2x – risky lost
top Home win
47.0%
2.13x – risky lost
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 1 meetings — Brunei U17 0W / 0D / 1L · momentum Brunei U17 0.0 ppg vs Lebanon U17 1.33 ppg
Brunei U17 · last 6
08 Nov · AFC U17 Asian Cup 0-7 L
30 Nov · AFC U17 Asian Cup 10-0 L
28 Nov · AFC U17 Asian Cup 0-2 L
26 Nov · AFC U17 Asian Cup 12-0 L
24 Nov · AFC U17 Asian Cup 8-0 L
22 Nov · AFC U17 Asian Cup 0-4 L
Lebanon U17 · last 6
08 Nov · AFC U17 Asian Cup 0-7 W
08 May · AFC U17 Asian Cup - W… 4-0 L
05 May · AFC U17 Asian Cup - W… 1-1 D
02 May · AFC U17 Asian Cup - W… 13-0 L
28 Nov · AFC U17 Asian Cup 0-2 W
26 Nov · AFC U17 Asian Cup 1-1 D
Head-to-head last 5
08 Nov 26 · AFC U17 Asian Cup Brunei U17 0-7 Lebanon U17