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NWSL Women
NJ/NY Gotham FC Women vs OL Reign
Sun 08 Nov 19:30 0 minutes
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Either team wins · 82.9%
why
• league PROVEN (83.3%, n=24)
• type ledger 75% (n=2259)
league track
proven · 83.3% of 24 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 64.1%)
draws 16.7% of matches
team history 23/22 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 75.1% hit (n=2259, 90d ledger)
measured band: 76.5% (n=678)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 75.9% hit (n=2519)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
82.9%
Either team wins
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
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Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Either team wins
solid (82.9%)
@ 08 Nov 17:27
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
54.8%
Draw
17.1%
Away win
28.1%
calibrated 08 Nov 17:27
scoring fit λ 1.49 / μ 0.93
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 245 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
28.1%
|
3.56x | 54.7% n=245 | risky |
| Draw |
17.1%
|
5.85x | 54.7% n=245 | risky |
| top Home win |
54.8%
|
1.82x | 54.7% n=245 | risky |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 12 meetings — NJ/NY Gotham … 4W / 3D / 5L
· momentum NJ/NY Gotha… 2.17 ppg vs OL Reign 1.67 ppg
NJ/NY Gotham FC Women · last 6
02 Nov · NWSL Women
2-0
W
25 Oct · NWSL Women
1-2
W
17 Oct · NWSL Women
1-0
L
04 Oct · NWSL Women
1-1
D
26 Sep · NWSL Women
3-1
W
20 Sep · NWSL Women
1-2
W
OL Reign · last 6
02 Nov · NWSL Women
1-0
W
24 Oct · NWSL Women
0-0
D
19 Oct · NWSL Women
1-3
W
03 Oct · NWSL Women
0-1
L
26 Sep · NWSL Women
2-0
W
20 Sep · NWSL Women
2-1
L
Head-to-head last 5
18 Jul 26 · NWSL Women
NJ/NY Gotham FC… 3-2 OL Reign
16 May 26 · NWSL Women
OL Reign 0-2 NJ/NY Gotham FC…
05 Oct 25 · NWSL Women
NJ/NY Gotham FC… 0-0 OL Reign
16 Mar 25 · NWSL Women
OL Reign 1-1 NJ/NY Gotham FC…
17 Sep 24 · NWSL Women
OL Reign 0-2 NJ/NY Gotham FC…