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Gaúcho - 3
Panambi vs Futebol Com Vida
Sun 08 Nov 20:00 0 minutesFu
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RISK
RISK
Over 0.5 goals · 93.9%
why
• league NEW (0.0%, n=1)
• type ledger 100% (n=44)
• totals are accuracy-only - no pricing edge at book prices (90d: every slice negative; only U2.5/U3.5 carry edge, overs all lose)
league track
new · 0.0% of 1 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 0.0%)
draws 18.3% of matches
team history 10/9 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
OU-O0.5: 100.0% hit (n=44, 90d ledger)
measured band: 93.0% (n=4488)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 75.9% hit (n=2519)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Strongest leg · risky
93.9%
Over 0.5 goals
top model pick, but the gate holds it back (league or evidence not proven) — informational, not advice.
HIGH risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
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1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
19.7%
Draw
20.6%
Away win
59.7%
calibrated 08 Nov 17:29
scoring fit λ 0.85 / μ 1.73
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtest pending for this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| top Away win |
59.7%
|
1.68x | – | lean |
| Draw |
20.6%
|
4.86x | – | risky |
| Home win |
19.7%
|
5.07x | – | risky |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 1 meetings — Panambi 0W / 1D / 0L
· momentum Panambi 1.5 ppg vs Futebol Com… 2.0 ppg
Panambi · last 6
01 Nov · Gaúcho - 3
3-2
W
24 Oct · Gaúcho - 3
2-0
L
18 Oct · Gaúcho - 3
2-2
D
10 Oct · Gaúcho - 3
3-3
D
03 Oct · Gaúcho - 3
1-0
W
30 Sep · Gaúcho - 3
1-1
D
Futebol Com Vida · last 6
24 Oct · Gaúcho - 3
0-0
D
17 Oct · Gaúcho - 3
6-0
W
14 Oct · Gaúcho - 3
0-1
W
03 Oct · Gaúcho - 3
0-0
D
30 Sep · Gaúcho - 3
1-1
D
28 Sep · Gaúcho - 3
1-2
W
Head-to-head last 5
30 Sep 26 · Gaúcho - 3
Futebol Com Vida 1-1 Panambi