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Premier League
Pompiers vs Armée
Sat 07 Nov 21:50 0 minutes final 2–0 · 1 won · 0 lost
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Either team wins · 84.2%
why
• league OK (68.2%, n=22)
• type ledger 75% (n=2265)
• draw-prone league - 'either team wins' dies on draws
league track
ok · 68.2% of 22 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 47.3%)
draws 33.3% of matches draw-prone
team history 7/5 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 75.1% hit (n=2265, 90d ledger)
measured band: 76.6% (n=679)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 75.9% hit (n=2529)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
84.2%
Either team wins
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
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Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Either team wins
solid (84.2%)
@ 07 Nov 17:57
pick won
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
81.8%
Draw
15.8%
Away win
2.5%
calibrated 07 Nov 17:57
scoring fit λ 2.17 / μ 0.25
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 31 Oct · 31 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
2.5%
|
40.78x | 67.7% n=31 | risky | lost |
| Draw |
15.8%
|
6.33x | 67.7% n=31 | risky | lost |
| top Home win |
81.8%
|
1.22x | 67.7% n=31 | solid | won |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 1 meetings — Pompiers 1W / 0D / 0L
· momentum Pompiers 1.83 ppg vs Armée 0.4 ppg
Pompiers · last 6
07 Nov · Premier League
2-0
W
02 Nov · Premier League
2-2
D
24 Oct · Premier League
1-3
W
20 Oct · Premier League
1-1
D
10 Oct · Premier League
0-3
W
25 May · Premier League
1-0
L
Armée · last 6
07 Nov · Premier League
2-0
L
31 Oct · Premier League
0-1
L
26 Oct · Premier League
4-1
L
19 Oct · Premier League
1-1
D
10 Oct · Premier League
0-0
D
Head-to-head last 5
07 Nov 26 · Premier League
Pompiers 2-0 Armée
Tickets including this match