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AFC Women's Champions League
East Bengal Women vs April Women
Sat 07 Nov 16:30 0 minutesAp
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Either team wins · 93.9%
why
• league OK (72.7%, n=11)
• type ledger 75% (n=2265)
league track
ok · 72.7% of 11 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 43.4%)
draws 7.0% of matches
team history 2/2 games (180d) · low data
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 75.1% hit (n=2265, 90d ledger)
measured band: 87.7% (n=57)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.4% hit (n=3032)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
93.9%
Either team wins
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
2.0%
Draw
6.1%
Away win
92.0%
calibrated 07 Nov 16:42
scoring fit λ 0.66 / μ 4.09
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtest pending for this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| top Away win |
92.0%
|
1.09x | – | solid |
| Draw |
6.1%
|
16.52x | – | risky |
| Home win |
2.0%
|
50.72x | – | risky |
Form & head-to-head
no H2H record
· momentum East Bengal… 1.8 ppg vs April Women 3.0 ppg
East Bengal Women · last 6
04 Nov · AFC Women's Champions…
1-4
L
01 Nov · AFC Women's Champions…
1-2
W
23 Nov · AFC Women's Champions…
0-3
L
17 Nov · AFC Women's Champions…
1-3
W
25 Aug · AFC Women's Champions…
0-1
W
April Women · last 6
04 Nov · AFC Women's Champions…
6-0
W
01 Nov · AFC Women's Champions…
1-2
W
Head-to-head last 5
First meeting on record.
Tickets including this match