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Premier League

Ulaangom City vs Khovd

Today 10:00 6 hours, 36 minutes
Kh
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Either team wins · 89.8%
why
• league OK (58.3%, n=12)
• type ledger 75% (n=2254)
league track
ok · 58.3% of 12 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 32.0%)
draws 6.7% of matches
team history 18/19 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 75.1% hit (n=2254, 90d ledger)
measured band: 79.9% (n=303)
morning 06-12 kickoffs: 74.3% hit (n=382)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
89.8%
Either team wins
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Either team wins solid (89.8%)
@ 09 Nov 02:53
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
24.8%
Draw
10.2%
Away win
65.0%
calibrated 09 Nov 02:53
scoring fit λ 2.21 / μ 3.50
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 31 Oct · 31 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdict
top Away win
65.0%
1.54x 67.7% n=31 lean
Draw
10.2%
9.77x 67.7% n=31 risky
Home win
24.8%
4.03x 67.7% n=31 risky
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 3 meetings — Ulaangom City 0W / 1D / 2L · momentum Ulaangom Ci… 0.17 ppg vs Khovd 0.67 ppg
Ulaangom City · last 6
05 Nov · Premier League 3-0 L
01 Nov · Premier League 1-1 D
28 Oct · Premier League 5-1 L
15 Oct · Premier League 4-2 L
05 Oct · Premier League 8-0 L
30 Sep · Premier League 2-4 L
Khovd · last 6
01 Nov · Premier League 0-3 L
28 Oct · Premier League 5-3 L
24 Oct · Premier League 3-4 L
15 Oct · Premier League 6-1 L
10 Oct · Premier League 8-0 W
04 Oct · Premier League 3-3 D
Head-to-head last 5
28 Jun 26 · Premier League Ulaangom City 3-3 Khovd
21 May 26 · Premier League Ulaangom City 2-3 Khovd
19 Oct 25 · Premier League Khovd 8-0 Ulaangom City
Tickets including this match
VALUE win chance 80.6% OPEN VALUE win chance 80.5% VOID VALUE win chance 80.5% VOID VALUE win chance 80.5% VOID VALUE win chance 80.5% VOID VALUE win chance 75.6% VOID