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Segunda División
Deportivo Lara vs Zamora Fc B
Sun 08 Nov 22:00 0 minutesZa
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Home, draw refunds · 85.8%
book 1.21x · short <1.30x
why
• league OK (81.8%, n=11)
• type ledger 71% (n=62)
• short price 1.21x
league track
ok · 81.8% of 11 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 52.3%)
draws 23.3% of matches
team history 27/21 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DNB-H: 71.0% hit (n=62, 90d ledger)
measured band: 86.4% (n=147)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 75.9% hit (n=2518)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
85.8%
Home, draw refunds
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Home, draw refunds
solid (85.8%)
@ 08 Nov 17:28 · 1.21x
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
70.1%
Draw
18.2%
Away win
11.6%
calibrated 08 Nov 17:28
scoring fit λ 2.22 / μ 0.78
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 246 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
11.6%
|
8.61x | 50.0% n=246 | risky |
| Draw |
18.2%
|
5.48x | 50.0% n=246 | risky |
| top Home win |
70.1%
|
1.43x | 50.0% n=246 | solid |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 4 meetings — Deportivo Lara 3W / 0D / 1L
· momentum Deportivo L… 1.67 ppg vs Zamora Fc B 1.5 ppg
Deportivo Lara · last 6
24 Oct · Segunda División
2-2
D
18 Oct · Segunda División
0-1
W
14 Oct · Copa Venezuela
4-1
W
11 Oct · Segunda División
2-0
W
07 Oct · Copa Venezuela
3-2
L
04 Oct · Segunda División
2-1
L
Zamora Fc B · last 6
28 Oct · Segunda División
2-1
W
25 Oct · Segunda División
1-5
W
11 Oct · Segunda División
2-0
L
04 Oct · Segunda División
1-4
L
30 Sep · Segunda División
4-3
L
26 Sep · Segunda División
2-1
W
Head-to-head last 5
11 Oct 26 · Segunda División
Deportivo Lara 2-0 Zamora Fc B
29 Aug 26 · Segunda División
Zamora Fc B 0-2 Deportivo Lara
24 May 26 · Segunda División
Deportivo Lara 4-1 Zamora Fc B
29 Mar 26 · Segunda División
Zamora Fc B 3-1 Deportivo Lara
Tickets including this match