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Segunda División

Fundación Lara Deportiva vs Petare

Sat 07 Nov 22:00 0 minutes final 0–1 · 0 won · 1 lost
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Home or Draw · 88.1%
why
• league OK (81.8%, n=11)
• type ledger 79% (n=1997)
league track
ok · 81.8% of 11 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 52.3%)
draws 23.3% of matches
team history 29/22 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-1X: 79.0% hit (n=1997, 90d ledger)
measured band: 84.3% (n=293)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 76.4% hit (n=2540)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
88.1%
Home or Draw
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Home or Draw solid (88.1%)
@ 07 Nov 18:02
pick lost
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
65.9%
Draw
22.2%
Away win
11.9%
calibrated 07 Nov 18:02
scoring fit λ 2.04 / μ 0.77
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 246 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdictresult
Away win
11.9%
8.43x 50.0% n=246 risky won
Draw
22.2%
4.5x 50.0% n=246 risky lost
top Home win
65.9%
1.52x 50.0% n=246 lean lost
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 2 meetings — Fundación Lar… 1W / 0D / 1L · momentum Fundación L… 1.17 ppg vs Petare 1.33 ppg
Fundación Lara Deportiva · last 6
07 Nov · Segunda División 0-1 L
01 Nov · Segunda División 0-2 W
25 Oct · Segunda División 0-4 W
18 Oct · Segunda División 0-1 L
14 Oct · Copa Venezuela 1-1 D
10 Oct · Segunda División 3-2 L
Petare · last 6
07 Nov · Segunda División 0-1 W
01 Nov · Segunda División 0-2 L
25 Oct · Segunda División 0-0 D
18 Oct · Segunda División 1-0 L
11 Oct · Segunda División 4-2 W
07 Oct · Copa Venezuela 0-0 D
Head-to-head last 5
07 Nov 26 · Segunda División Fundación Lara … 0-1 Petare
01 Nov 26 · Segunda División Petare 0-2 Fundación Lara …