Fe
HOME
UEFA Women’s Champions League
Fenerbahce Women vs Real Sociedad Women
Tomorrow 19:00 1 day, 14 hours
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Either team wins · 80.4%
why
• league OK (75.0%, n=8)
• type ledger 75% (n=2256)
league track
ok · 75.0% of 8 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 40.9%)
draws 13.3% of matches
team history 1/15 games (180d) · low data
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 75.0% hit (n=2256, 90d ledger)
measured band: 76.5% (n=677)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 75.9% hit (n=2518)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
80.4%
Either team wins
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Either team wins
solid (80.4%)
@ 09 Nov 02:54
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
45.1%
Draw
19.6%
Away win
35.2%
calibrated 09 Nov 02:54
scoring fit λ 1.81 / μ 1.57
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtest pending for this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
35.2%
|
2.84x | – | risky |
| Draw |
19.6%
|
5.09x | – | risky |
| top Home win |
45.1%
|
2.21x | – | risky |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 1 meetings — Fenerbahce Wo… 0W / 0D / 1L
· momentum Fenerbahce … 0.0 ppg vs Real Socied… 2.33 ppg
Fenerbahce Women · last 6
28 Oct · UEFA Women’s Champion…
2-0
L
Real Sociedad Women · last 6
08 Nov · Primera División Feme…
1-2
W
01 Nov · Primera División Feme…
1-1
D
28 Oct · UEFA Women’s Champion…
2-0
W
25 Oct · Primera División Feme…
1-1
D
18 Oct · Primera División Feme…
2-1
W
04 Oct · Primera División Feme…
0-1
W
Head-to-head last 5
28 Oct 26 · UEFA Women’s Champion…
Real Sociedad W… 2-0 Fenerbahce Women