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UEFA Women’s Champions League
Torreense Women vs Sparta Praha Women
Tomorrow 19:00 1 day, 15 hoursSp
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Home or Draw · 81.7%
why
• league OK (75.0%, n=8)
• type ledger 80% (n=1979)
league track
ok · 75.0% of 8 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 40.9%)
draws 13.3% of matches
team history 10/18 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-1X: 79.9% hit (n=1979, 90d ledger)
measured band: 82.0% (n=423)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 75.9% hit (n=2518)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
81.7%
Home or Draw
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
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Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Home or Draw
solid (81.7%)
@ 09 Nov 02:54
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
66.3%
Draw
15.4%
Away win
18.3%
calibrated 09 Nov 02:54
scoring fit λ 2.43 / μ 1.18
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtest pending for this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
18.3%
|
5.47x | – | risky |
| Draw |
15.4%
|
6.47x | – | risky |
| top Home win |
66.3%
|
1.51x | – | lean |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 1 meetings — Torreense Wom… 0W / 1D / 0L
· momentum Torreense W… 1.67 ppg vs Sparta Prah… 2.17 ppg
Torreense Women · last 6
02 Nov · Campeonato Nacional F…
0-1
L
28 Oct · UEFA Women’s Champion…
2-2
D
24 Oct · Campeonato Nacional F…
0-3
W
18 Oct · Campeonato Nacional F…
3-2
L
30 Sep · UEFA Women’s Champion…
4-1
W
27 Sep · Campeonato Nacional F…
8-0
W
Sparta Praha Women · last 6
07 Nov · 1. Liga Women
2-0
L
01 Nov · 1. Liga Women
6-1
W
28 Oct · UEFA Women’s Champion…
2-2
D
24 Oct · 1. Liga Women
1-6
W
17 Oct · 1. Liga Women
0-1
W
30 Sep · UEFA Women’s Champion…
0-4
W
Head-to-head last 5
28 Oct 26 · UEFA Women’s Champion…
Sparta Praha Wo… 2-2 Torreense Women