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Sergipano - 2

Caninde vs Socorrense

Tomorrow 20:00 1 day, 15 hours
So
AWAY
back to predictions
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Either team wins · 80.1%
why
• league OK (66.7%, n=18)
• type ledger 75% (n=2258)
league track
ok · 66.7% of 18 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 43.7%)
draws 18.3% of matches
team history 4/4 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 75.1% hit (n=2258, 90d ledger)
measured band: 76.5% (n=677)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 75.9% hit (n=2518)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
80.1%
Either team wins
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Safer
67.6%
Draw or Away
safest leg we would still back — lower variance, smaller payout.
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Either team wins solid (80.1%)
@ 09 Nov 02:54
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
32.4%
Draw
19.9%
Away win
47.7%
calibrated 09 Nov 02:54
scoring fit λ 1.59 / μ 1.97
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtest pending for this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdict
top Away win
47.7%
2.1x – risky
Draw
19.9%
5.04x – risky
Home win
32.4%
3.08x – risky
Form & head-to-head
no H2H record · momentum Caninde 1.67 ppg vs Socorrense 1.75 ppg
Caninde · last 6
07 Nov · Sergipano - 2 0-1 W
03 Nov · Sergipano - 2 3-0 L
31 Oct · Sergipano - 2 3-3 D
28 Oct · Sergipano - 2 1-6 W
01 Nov · Sergipano - 2 4-2 L
25 Oct · Sergipano - 2 0-3 W
Socorrense · last 6
07 Nov · Sergipano - 2 0-0 D
03 Nov · Sergipano - 2 0-3 W
31 Oct · Sergipano - 2 2-3 L
28 Oct · Sergipano - 2 1-2 W
Head-to-head last 5
First meeting on record.