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Elite Two

Atlantic vs Mintack

Sun 08 Nov 16:00 0 minutes final 3–2 · settled
Mi
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RISK
RISK
Over 0.5 goals · 94.6%
why
• league NEW (57.1%, n=7)
• type ledger 100% (n=44)
• totals are accuracy-only - no pricing edge at book prices (90d: every slice negative; only U2.5/U3.5 carry edge, overs all lose)
league track
new · 57.1% of 7 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 25.0%)
draws 38.3% of matches
team history 9/3 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
OU-O0.5: 100.0% hit (n=44, 90d ledger)
measured band: 92.9% (n=4118)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.5% hit (n=3023)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Strongest leg · risky
94.6%
Over 0.5 goals
top model pick, but the gate holds it back (league or evidence not proven) — informational, not advice.
HIGH risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
75.6%
Draw
17.1%
Away win
7.3%
calibrated 08 Nov 17:28
scoring fit λ 2.44 / μ 0.67
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 157 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdictresult
Away win
7.3%
13.73x 46.5% n=157 risky lost
Draw
17.1%
5.83x 46.5% n=157 risky lost
top Home win
75.6%
1.32x 46.5% n=157 solid won
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 1 meetings — Atlantic 1W / 0D / 0L · momentum Atlantic 1.67 ppg vs Mintack 0.67 ppg
Atlantic · last 6
08 Nov · Elite Two 3-2 W
01 Nov · Elite Two 0-0 D
25 Oct · Elite Two 0-1 W
20 Jun · Elite Two 1-5 L
17 Jun · Elite Two 0-1 L
15 Jun · Elite Two 1-2 W
Mintack · last 6
08 Nov · Elite Two 3-2 L
01 Nov · Elite Two 1-1 D
24 Oct · Elite Two 1-1 D
Head-to-head last 5
08 Nov 26 · Elite Two Atlantic 3-2 Mintack