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Elite Two

Avion Academy vs Bamboutos

Sun 08 Nov 16:00 0 minutes final 0–0 · settled
AWAY
back to predictions
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RISK
RISK
Under 4.5 goals · 91.1%
why
• league NEW (57.1%, n=7)
• type ledger 82% (n=109)
• totals are accuracy-only - no pricing edge at book prices (90d: every slice negative; only U2.5/U3.5 carry edge, overs all lose)
league track
new · 57.1% of 7 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 25.0%)
draws 38.3% of matches
team history 9/11 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
OU-U4.5: 81.7% hit (n=109, 90d ledger)
measured band: 87.8% (n=1085)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.5% hit (n=3023)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Strongest leg · risky
91.1%
Under 4.5 goals
top model pick, but the gate holds it back (league or evidence not proven) — informational, not advice.
HIGH risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
21.8%
Draw
29.6%
Away win
48.6%
calibrated 08 Nov 17:28
scoring fit λ 0.89 / μ 1.45
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 157 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdictresult
top Away win
48.6%
2.06x 46.5% n=157 risky lost
Draw
29.6%
3.38x 46.5% n=157 risky won
Home win
21.8%
4.59x 46.5% n=157 risky lost
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 8 meetings — Avion Academy 0W / 5D / 3L · momentum Avion Acade… 1.67 ppg vs Bamboutos 1.83 ppg
Avion Academy · last 6
08 Nov · Elite Two 0-0 D
31 Oct · Elite Two 0-2 W
25 Oct · Elite Two 0-1 L
20 Jun · Elite Two 6-1 W
17 Jun · Elite Two 0-2 W
15 Jun · Elite Two 1-2 L
Bamboutos · last 6
08 Nov · Elite Two 0-0 D
01 Nov · Elite Two 3-0 W
25 Oct · Elite Two 0-2 W
21 Jun · Elite Two 0-0 D
18 Jun · Elite Two 1-3 L
16 Jun · Elite Two 0-2 W
Head-to-head last 5
08 Nov 26 · Elite Two Avion Academy 0-0 Bamboutos
04 Apr 26 · Elite Two Bamboutos 1-1 Avion Academy
31 Jan 26 · Elite Two Avion Academy 0-0 Bamboutos
11 Apr 24 · Elite One Avion Academy 0-0 Bamboutos
27 May 22 · Elite One Bamboutos 1-0 Avion Academy