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Botola Pro
FAR Rabat vs Difaa El Jadida
Sun 08 Nov 20:00 0 minutes final 3–1 · 1 won · 0 lost
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Home or Draw · 86.9%
book 1.17x · short <1.30x
why
• league OK (67.4%, n=43)
• type ledger 80% (n=1980)
• short price 1.17x
league track
ok · 67.4% of 43 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 52.5%)
draws 31.7% of matches
team history 24/19 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-1X: 79.9% hit (n=1980, 90d ledger)
measured band: 84.9% (n=292)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 75.9% hit (n=2519)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
86.9%
Home or Draw
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
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Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Home or Draw
solid (86.9%)
@ 08 Nov 17:25 · 1.17x
pick won
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
67.2%
Draw
19.7%
Away win
13.1%
calibrated 08 Nov 17:25
scoring fit λ 1.94 / μ 0.70
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 237 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
13.1%
|
7.63x | 39.7% n=237 | risky | lost |
| Draw |
19.7%
|
5.07x | 39.7% n=237 | risky | lost |
| top Home win |
67.2%
|
1.49x | 39.7% n=237 | lean | won |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 15 meetings — FAR Rabat 9W / 4D / 2L
· momentum FAR Rabat 2.0 ppg vs Difaa El Ja… 1.33 ppg
FAR Rabat · last 6
08 Nov · Botola Pro
3-1
W
01 Nov · Botola Pro
0-0
D
28 Oct · Botola Pro
2-0
W
24 Oct · CAF Confederation Cup
2-1
W
17 Oct · CAF Confederation Cup
0-0
D
12 Oct · Botola Pro
2-2
D
Difaa El Jadida · last 6
08 Nov · Botola Pro
3-1
L
30 Oct · Botola Pro
1-1
D
25 Oct · Botola Pro
1-1
D
17 Oct · Botola Pro
4-1
W
10 Oct · Botola Pro
2-5
W
03 Oct · Botola Pro
0-2
L
Head-to-head last 5
08 Nov 26 · Botola Pro
FAR Rabat 3-1 Difaa El Jadida
09 Sep 26 · Friendlies Clubs
FAR Rabat 1-1 Difaa El Jadida
04 Jun 26 · Botola Pro
FAR Rabat 2-1 Difaa El Jadida
02 Nov 25 · Botola Pro
Difaa El Jadida 0-4 FAR Rabat
04 May 25 · Botola Pro
Difaa El Jadida 0-5 FAR Rabat
Tickets including this match