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Botola Pro
UTS Rabat vs Amal Tiznit
Fri 06 Nov 22:00 0 minutes final 0–2 · 0 won · 1 lostAm
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Home or Draw · 84.0%
why
• league OK (67.4%, n=43)
• type ledger 80% (n=1994)
league track
ok · 67.4% of 43 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 52.5%)
draws 31.7% of matches
team history 18/15 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-1X: 79.8% hit (n=1994, 90d ledger)
measured band: 81.5% (n=427)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 75.9% hit (n=2529)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
84.0%
Home or Draw
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
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Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Home or Draw
solid (84.0%)
@ 06 Nov 17:57
pick lost
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
56.4%
Draw
27.6%
Away win
16.0%
calibrated 06 Nov 17:57
scoring fit λ 1.66 / μ 0.79
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 237 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
16.0%
|
6.24x | 39.7% n=237 | risky | won |
| Draw |
27.6%
|
3.63x | 39.7% n=237 | risky | lost |
| top Home win |
56.4%
|
1.77x | 39.7% n=237 | lean | lost |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 1 meetings — UTS Rabat 0W / 0D / 1L
· momentum UTS Rabat 0.83 ppg vs Amal Tiznit 1.17 ppg
UTS Rabat · last 6
06 Nov · Botola Pro
0-2
L
30 Oct · Botola Pro
1-1
D
24 Oct · Botola Pro
0-1
L
17 Oct · Botola Pro
1-0
L
08 Oct · Botola Pro
0-0
D
02 Oct · Botola Pro
0-1
W
Amal Tiznit · last 6
06 Nov · Botola Pro
0-2
W
31 Oct · Botola Pro
0-1
L
24 Oct · Botola Pro
1-2
L
18 Oct · Botola Pro
1-1
D
10 Oct · Botola Pro
2-5
L
02 Oct · Botola Pro
0-1
W
Head-to-head last 5
06 Nov 26 · Botola Pro
UTS Rabat 0-2 Amal Tiznit
Tickets including this match