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Ligue 1

Etoile de Kivu vs Fc Renaissance

Tomorrow 15:00 1 day, 12 hours
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Home or Draw · 90.3%
why
• league PROVEN (75.9%, n=29)
• type ledger 80% (n=1995)
• SELECT 90%+ (measured >=88%)
league track
proven · 75.9% of 29 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 57.9%)
draws 43.3% of matches
team history 3/3 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-1X: 79.8% hit (n=1995, 90d ledger)
measured band: 90.9% (n=164)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.5% hit (n=3034)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
90.3%
Home or Draw
engine's strongest option for this match
LOW risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Home or Draw solid (90.3%)
@ 10 Nov 23:53
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
54.6%
Draw
35.7%
Away win
9.7%
calibrated 10 Nov 23:53
scoring fit λ 1.60 / μ 0.66
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 448 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdict
Away win
9.7%
10.3x 43.8% n=448 risky
Draw
35.7%
2.8x 43.8% n=448 risky
top Home win
54.6%
1.83x 43.8% n=448 risky
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 1 meetings — Etoile de Kivu 1W / 0D / 0L · momentum Etoile de K… 2.33 ppg vs Fc Renaissa… 1.0 ppg
Etoile de Kivu · last 6
07 Nov · Ligue 1 1-1 D
31 Oct · Ligue 1 2-1 W
24 Oct · Ligue 1 0-0 D
09 Apr · Ligue 1 0-1 W
07 Mar · Ligue 1 3-0 W
04 Mar · Ligue 1 3-0 W
Fc Renaissance · last 6
04 Nov · Ligue 1 0-1 L
31 Oct · Ligue 1 0-1 W
25 Oct · Ligue 1 0-0 D
12 Apr · Ligue 1 0-5 L
09 Apr · Ligue 1 0-0 D
02 Apr · Ligue 1 1-1 D
Head-to-head last 5
04 Mar 26 · Ligue 1 Etoile de Kivu 3-0 Fc Renaissance