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Ligue 1

CS Manika vs Butras

Wed 11 Nov 11:00 2 days, 6 hours
Bu
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Home or Draw · 85.6%
why
• league PROVEN (75.9%, n=29)
• type ledger 80% (n=1979)
league track
proven · 75.9% of 29 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 57.9%)
draws 45.0% of matches
team history 4/3 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-1X: 79.9% hit (n=1979, 90d ledger)
measured band: 84.9% (n=292)
morning 06-12 kickoffs: 74.4% hit (n=383)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
85.6%
Home or Draw
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Home or Draw solid (85.6%)
@ 09 Nov 02:53
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
49.0%
Draw
36.6%
Away win
14.4%
calibrated 09 Nov 02:53
scoring fit λ 1.16 / μ 0.53
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 448 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdict
Away win
14.4%
6.96x 43.8% n=448 risky
Draw
36.6%
2.73x 43.8% n=448 risky
top Home win
49.0%
2.04x 43.8% n=448 risky
Form & head-to-head
no H2H record · momentum CS Manika 1.5 ppg vs Butras 1.0 ppg
CS Manika · last 6
05 Nov · Ligue 1 1-2 W
30 Oct · Ligue 1 0-1 L
26 Oct · Ligue 1 0-0 D
20 Oct · Ligue 1 0-0 D
05 Apr · Ligue 1 2-1 W
27 Mar · Ligue 1 0-0 D
Butras · last 6
05 Nov · Ligue 1 1-0 W
30 Oct · Ligue 1 1-0 L
26 Oct · Ligue 1 0-2 L
Head-to-head last 5
First meeting on record.
Tickets including this match
VALUE win chance 81.5% OPEN VALUE win chance 81.5% VOID VALUE win chance 81.5% VOID VALUE win chance 81.5% VOID VALUE win chance 81.5% VOID